China’s Plastic Industry
Loses Edge Amid Tariff Squeeze
China’s plastic industry, long a global leader due to its cost advantage, is buckling under a 125% tariff on U.S. ethane imports, a vital feedstock for ethylene, the core of plastics used in products from bags to medical devices. This tariff, part of the U.S.-China trade war, has spiked ethane costs from $150 to $337.5 per ton, flipping a $100-per-ton profit into a $184 loss. Compounding the crisis, a 145% U.S. tariff on Chinese plastic exports creates a double hit: higher input costs for manufacturers and restricted access to the U.S. market. This dual pressure threatens China’s competitive edge—its low-cost production—eroding its dominance in the global plastic market.
In 2024, China, the world’s top plastic producer, sourced 98% of its ethane from the U.S., which supplied 35% of its 1.9 million tons daily output. China’s domestic ethane production, a mere 120,000 tons annually, cannot meet demand. Propane, used for polypropylene, is similarly constrained, with 59.2% of China’s 17.3 million tons imported from the U.S. The tariff has driven propane costs from $300 to $675 per ton, cutting propane dehydrogenation (PDH) plant profit margins from 10% to 2-3%. Over 80% of China’s 30 PDH companies, with a 20-million-ton capacity, rely on U.S. propane, and many have stopped production.
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China’s April Tariff
The United States has entered a new phase of its trade war with China, imposing a staggering 104% import tariff on Chinese goods, effective April 9, 2025. This dramatic escalation follows a period of tense negotiations—or lack thereof—between the two economic giants. While over 50 countries have scrambled to secure appointments with U.S. trade officials to renegotiate their trade deals and mitigate the impact of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff policies, China has taken a defiant stance. Rather than seeking dialogue, Beijing has pushed back aggressively against the American people, opting for retaliation over reconciliation. This hardline approach has only intensified the conflict, prompting a swift and decisive response from the Trump administration.
President Trump, unwavering in his protectionist agenda, reacted to China’s resistance by significantly increasing tariffs. Initially, Chinese goods faced a 54% tariff rate, comprising a 20% baseline from earlier this year and an additional 34% imposed in early April. However, after China retaliated with a matching 34% tariff on all U.S. imports on April 4, Trump upped the ante. On April 7, he threatened an additional 50% tariff hike unless China withdrew its countermeasures by April 8. When Beijing failed to comply, the White House confirmed the new 104% rate, surpassing China’s retaliatory measures and signaling an uncompromising stance. This tit-for-tat escalation underscores Trump’s determination to reshape global trade in favor of American interests.
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